It’s hard to believe that this’ll be the fourth Tigers season I’ll be blogging. Spring training started for the Tigers last week and there’s not a ton of news to report although this is a good story on Magglio Ordonez from MLB.com’s Jason Beck. Ordonez reported to camp on Sunday and spent the day hitting. This is easy enough to say, but if the Tigers are going to improve on their 71 wins from last year, having a healthy Magglio Ordonez will go along way. I’m not looking for him to replicate what he did when he was in his prime for the White Sox, but even 25/90 would be a step up from what we’ve been getting out of right field anytime this decade.
PECOTA doesn’t project much out of Ordonez this season. His weighted mean has him at 377 at bats, 10 homeruns and a .288/.350/.440 line. His breakout rate is only 4% while his collapse rating is 38%. None of that is good if it comes true.
Tom Stanton is going to be at the Macomb County Library this Tuesday. I’m hoping to get out there to meet him. He’ll be talking about his latest, the Detroit Tiger Reader, which is a great read.
Why does this seem to be surprising everyone? Do you know how much we’re going to be paying Magglio in a couple of years?
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A 90% projection of .309 EQA for Magglio? Ouch. His 26-29 seasons were all near to or better than that. That’s low expectations for you. Fingers crossed …
Chuck
--Posted by Chuck Hildebrandt on February 20th, 2006 at 12:14 am